Description: Towards Bayesian Model-Based Demography by Jakub Bijak, Philip A. Higham, Jason Hilton, Martin Hinsch, Sarah Nurse, Toby Prike, Oliver Reinhardt, Peter W.F. Smith, Adelinde M. Uhrmacher, Tom Warnke Estimated delivery 3-12 business days Format Paperback Condition Brand New Description This open access book presents a ground-breaking approach to developing micro-foundations for demography and migration studies. The book discusses in detail the process of building a simulation model of migration, based on a population of intelligent, cognitive agents, their networks and institutions, all interacting with one another. Publisher Description This open access book presents a ground-breaking approach to developing micro-foundations for demography and migration studies. It offers a unique and novel methodology for creating empirically grounded agent-based models of international migration – one of the most uncertain population processes and a top-priority policy area. The book discusses in detail the process of building a simulation model of migration, based on a population of intelligent, cognitive agents, their networks and institutions, all interacting with one another. The proposed model-based approach integrates behavioural and social theory with formal modelling, by embedding the interdisciplinary modelling process within a wider inductive framework based on the Bayesian statistical reasoning. Principles of uncertainty quantification are used to devise innovative computer-based simulations, and to learn about modelling the simulated individuals and the way they make decisions. The identified knowledge gaps are subsequently filled with information from dedicated laboratory experiments on cognitive aspects of human decision-making under uncertainty. In this way, the models are built iteratively, from the bottom up, filling an important epistemological gap in migration studies, and social sciences more broadly. Author Biography Jakub Bijak is Professor of Statistical Demography at the University of Southampton. He has background in economics (PhD 2008, Warsaw School of Economics) and over 20 years work experience in academia and international civil service. His research focuses on demographic uncertainty, population and migration models and forecasts, and the demography of armed conflict. He has been awarded the Allianz European Demographer Award (2015) and the Jerzy Z Holzer Medal (2007) for work on migration modelling. Leader of a European Research Council project "Bayesian agent-based population studies" (www.baps-project.eu), and a Horizon 2020 project "QuantMig: Quantifying Migration Scenarios for Better Policy" . Details ISBN 3030830411 ISBN-13 9783030830410 Title Towards Bayesian Model-Based Demography Author Jakub Bijak, Philip A. Higham, Jason Hilton, Martin Hinsch, Sarah Nurse, Toby Prike, Oliver Reinhardt, Peter W.F. Smith, Adelinde M. Uhrmacher, Tom Warnke Format Paperback Year 2021 Pages 263 Edition 1st Publisher Springer Nature Switzerland AG GE_Item_ID:140311689; About Us Grand Eagle Retail is the ideal place for all your shopping needs! With fast shipping, low prices, friendly service and over 1,000,000 in stock items - you're bound to find what you want, at a price you'll love! Shipping & Delivery Times Shipping is FREE to any address in USA. Please view eBay estimated delivery times at the top of the listing. Deliveries are made by either USPS or Courier. We are unable to deliver faster than stated. International deliveries will take 1-6 weeks. NOTE: We are unable to offer combined shipping for multiple items purchased. This is because our items are shipped from different locations. Returns If you wish to return an item, please consult our Returns Policy as below: Please contact Customer Services and request "Return Authorisation" before you send your item back to us. Unauthorised returns will not be accepted. Returns must be postmarked within 4 business days of authorisation and must be in resellable condition. Returns are shipped at the customer's risk. We cannot take responsibility for items which are lost or damaged in transit. For purchases where a shipping charge was paid, there will be no refund of the original shipping charge. Additional Questions If you have any questions please feel free to Contact Us. Categories Baby Books Electronics Fashion Games Health & Beauty Home, Garden & Pets Movies Music Sports & Outdoors Toys
Price: 61.73 USD
Location: Fairfield, Ohio
End Time: 2025-01-28T03:38:21.000Z
Shipping Cost: 0 USD
Product Images
Item Specifics
Restocking Fee: No
Return shipping will be paid by: Buyer
All returns accepted: Returns Accepted
Item must be returned within: 30 Days
Refund will be given as: Money Back
ISBN-13: 9783030830410
Type: NA
Publication Name: NA
Book Title: Towards Bayesian Model-Based Demography : Agency, Complexity and Uncertainty in Migration Studies
Number of Pages: Xxv, 263 Pages
Language: English
Publisher: Springer International Publishing A&G
Topic: Demography, Emigration & Immigration, Statistics
Publication Year: 2021
Illustrator: Yes
Genre: Social Science
Item Weight: 15.9 Oz
Author: Jakub Bijak
Item Length: 9.3 in
Item Width: 6.1 in
Book Series: Methodos Ser.
Format: Trade Paperback
