The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable by Nassim Nicholas Taleb Pap

Description: The Black Swan by Nassim Nicholas Taleb What have the invention of the wheel, Pompeii, the Wall Street Crash, Harry Potter and the internet got in common? Why are all forecasters con-artists? What can Catherine the Greats lovers tell us about probability? Why should you never run for a train or read a newspaper? This title deals with this questions. FORMAT Paperback CONDITION Brand New Publisher Description A condensed guide to life from the bestselling author of The Black Swan, Nassim Nicholas Talebs The Bed of Procrustes is an invaluable collection of aphorisms navigate the modern worldWhy are we so often unwilling to accept that life is unpredictable? In this brilliant book Nassim Nicholas Taleb distils his idiosyncratic wisdom to demolish our illusions, contrasting the classical values of courage, elegance and erudition against modern philistinism and phoniness. Only by accepting what we dont know, he shows, can we see the world as it really is.Happily provocative ... blistering ... his observations concern superiority, wealth, suckerdom, academia, modernity, technology and the all-purpose, ignorant "they" ... very quotable - The New York Times Notes Paperback edition of the international bestseller, which presents a concept that changes the way we look at the world. A Black Swan is a highly unlikely event, its unpredictable, creates a massive impact and cannot be easily explained. Examples are the astonishing success of Google and the tragedy of 9/11. For fans of Freakonomics, The Wisdom Of Crowds and The Tipping Point. A fascinating study... Larry Elliot, Guardian Author Biography Nassim Nicholas Taleb is an uncompromizing no-nonsense thinker for our times. He has spent his life immersing himself in problems of luck, uncertainty, probability, and knowledge, and he has led three high-profile careers around his ideas, as a man of letters, as a businessman-trader, and as a university professor and researcher. He is currently Distinguished Professor of Risk Engineering at New York Universitys School of Engineering. He is the author of the 4-volume INCERTO (Antifragile, The Black Swan, Fooled by Randomness, and The Bed of Procrustes). Taleb refuses all awards and honours as they debase knowledge by turning it into competitive sports.%%%Nassim Nicholas Taleb is a radical no-nonsense philosopher for our times. He has spent his life immersing himself in problems of luck, uncertainty, probability, and knowledge, and he has led three high-profile careers around his ideas, as a man of letters, as a businessman-trader, and as a university professor and researcher. He is currently Distinguished Professor of Risk Engineering at New York Universitys School of Engineering. He is the author of the 4-volume INCERTO (Antifragile, The Black Swan, Fooled by Randomness, and The Bed of Procrustes). Taleb refuses all awards and honours as they debase knowledge by turning it into competitive sports. Review A fascinating study of how we are regularly taken for suckers by the unexpected * Guardian *Like the conversation of a raconteur ... hugely enjoyable - compelling * Financial Times *It has altered modern thinking * The Times *Confirms his status as a guru for every would-be Damien Hirst, George Soros and aspirant despot * Sunday Times *The Black Swan changed my view of how the world works -- Daniel Kahneman, author of Thinking, Fast and SlowGreat fun... brash, stubborn, entertaining, opinionated, curious, cajoling -- Stephen J. Dubner, co-author of FreakonomicsThe most prophetic voice of all * GQ * The Nile Staff Review Nassim Nicholas Taleb is one non-fiction writer that I wouldnt want to mess with if I encountered him in a dark alley. He is passionate about all his theories and opinions, from the complex and profound to the idiosyncratic and trivial, and is consumed with boundless contempt for those of whom he disapproves. Among the unfortunate targets of his vitriol and scorn, in no particular order, are businessmen who wear neckties, professional economists, and proponents of the Gaussian bell curve as a pattern of statistical distribution.Few writers would get away with approaching their subject in this way, but Taleb, for one, can afford to do as he pleases. His theory that "black swans", those events that are by their nature impossible to predict and infinitely scaleable in their impact, are the true movers of the world (at least in the areas that matter) and accompanying strategies for how to deal with them, made him rich long before this or his earlier bestseller, Fooled by Randomness, were published. As a Wall St trader during the 1987 crash, while most of his colleagues were ruined, Taleb earned what is subtly termed his "f**k you money". Sufficiently wealthy to work only as much as he chooses, and on projects that interest him, he relishes in demolishing the comfortable preconceptions many cling to about what constitutes a safe bet in life.His highly readable prose delves into everything from the problem of induction to geometric fractals, providing plenty of fuel for the technically minded, while never dragging or forgetting the general reader. The latter is even advised to skip whole chapters which the author deems too technically specific and unnecessary for an overall understanding of his ideas. A captivating and provocative read.David @ The NileRead the rest of Davids reviews here. Review Text A fascinating study of how we are regularly taken for suckers by the unexpected Review Quote Great fun e Details ISBN0141034599 Author Nassim Nicholas Taleb Publisher Penguin Books Ltd Year 2008 ISBN-10 0141034599 ISBN-13 9780141034591 Format Paperback Imprint Penguin Books Ltd Subtitle The Impact of the Highly Improbable Place of Publication London Country of Publication United Kingdom Illustrations Illustrations Media Book Short Title BLACK SWAN Residence US Pages 480 Publication Date 2008-02-28 DEWEY 191 UK Release Date 2008-02-28 Alternative 9780141906201 Audience General NZ Release Date 2011-07-06 AU Release Date 2011-07-06 We've got this At The Nile, if you're looking for it, we've got it. 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